Tonight’s Benidorm Fest is set to be one of the most exciting national finals in recent years. RTVE have really turned the boat around with their excellent production so far and an all round fun show. With RTVE revealing the semi final results we have plenty of data to work with and there are 3 standout contenders to take the victory.
Riogberta Bandini has set the spotify chart alight with her entry. Ay Mama is currently #3 on the spotify chart with Terra the only other entry in the top 50 at #34. She also has the most viewed Youtube performance by far. On top of this, she handily won the expert jury vote in SF2 and came 2nd with the demoscopic jury. With all this data Riogberta is a worthy favourite but there are some red flags.
Chanel is the 2nd favourite in the odds with her song, “SloMo.” The song itself is nothing special but she elevates it to another level. She is working with one of the best choreographers, Kyle Hanagami, which should surprise no one. This is by far the best performed entry. The choreography and staging leave you gripped for the full 3 minutes. In terms of what would score best at Eurovision this is clearly the best on offer. It is a well performed slick female pop song and who knows how much more it could be elevated on the bigger Eurovision stage with a bigger budget. It was no surprise to see this win SF1 with the expert and demoscopic juries rewarding it’s competence.
Pre-live I thought Tanxugueiras’s entry, “Terra” would be the winner. However they have done the staging wrong, it looks too messy and distracting in it’s current form. If sent to Eurovision they would have potential if they went back to drawing board for staging ideas. The expert jurors deservedly punished them. However they are still likely to win the televote tonight due to huge regional vote coming from Galicia. Therefore we cannot rule them out in case changes from the SF mean jurors do a u-turn.
This will be an incredibly close NF and the running order shows no favouritism from RTVE. Tanxugeiras will almost certainly win the televote with Riogberta in 2nd and Chanel in 3rd. This means just 5 points will separate Riogberta and Chanel leaving it to the jurors decide. I think that jurors will reward the competency of Chanel over the gimmicky staging from Riogberta, so I would give the edge to Chanel.
Prediction:
- Chanel
- Riogberta
- Chanel
Recommended Bet: Back Chanel to win Beniform Fest 2022 @ 3.05 (Smarkets)
TVTips.UK 